ANALYSIS Iran faces tough choices in deciding how to respond to Israeli strikes
How Iran chooses to respond could determine whether the region spirals further toward all-out war or holds steady at an already destabilizing level of violence.
It's called "Article 99." And it hasn't been used for decades. Until this week.
With an intensifying Israeli offensive and escalating civilian casualties, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres invoked a rarely exercised power this week to warn the Security Council of an impending "humanitarian catastrophe" in Gaza. He urged members to demand an immediate humanitarian ceasefire.
Guterres invoked Article 99 of the UN Charter -- last used over half a century ago -- which says the secretary-general may inform the council of matters he believes threaten international peace and security.
Here, Edith M. Lederer, longtime chief UN correspondent for The Associated Press, breaks down what this could mean.
It's a provision of the United Nations Charter, the UN constitution. It states that the secretary-general -- the UN's top diplomat -- may bring to the attention of the Security Council "any matter which, in his opinion, may threaten the maintenance of international peace and security."
This gives an important additional power to the secretary-general, since the real power at the UN is held by its 193 member nations and especially the 15 countries that serve on the Security Council.
Article 99 is extremely rarely used. The last time it was invoked was during fighting in 1971 that led to the creation of Bangladesh and its separation from Pakistan.
Guterres invoked Article 99 because he sees the situation in Gaza at risk of a "complete collapse" of the territory's humanitarian system and civil order. It was something he felt needed to be done.
Arab and Islamic nations followed up on Guterres's letter immediately.
The United Arab Emirates, the Arab representative on the Security Council, circulated a short resolution to Security Council members late Wednesday calling for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire. They plan to put that resolution to a vote at a Security Council meeting on Friday morning.
In this Dec. 17, 2019 file photo, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres attends the UNHCR - Global Refugee Forum at the European headquarters of the United Nations in Geneva, Switzerland. (Salvatore Di Nolfi/Keystone via AP, File)
The United States, which is Israel's closest ally and has veto power on resolutions, has not supported a ceasefire. On Tuesday, U.S. Deputy Ambassador Robert Wood said that the role of the Security Council in the Israel-Gaza war is not to get in the way of important diplomacy that's taking place. And he said the Security Council resolution at this time "would not be useful."
This could signal a likely veto, but the U.S. has not said either way.
Because Guterres believes that the humanitarian system and the humanitarian operations in Gaza are collapsing.
He also warns in his letter that in the current situation, "amid constant bombardment by the Israeli Defense Forces and without shelter or essentials to survive, I expect public order to completely break down soon due to the desperate conditions, rendering even limited humanitarian assistance impossible."
Guterres said the situation could get even worse, pointing to possible epidemics and the mass displacement of Palestinians into neighbouring countries. He sees a looming disaster.
Previous secretaries-general have brought threats that they saw to international peace and security to the Security Council without mentioning Article 99. This includes Congo in 1960, the U.S. hostage crisis in Iran that began in November 1979, the Iran-Iraq war in 1980 and more recently Myanmar in 2017.
We don't know why they didn't invoke Article 99, and several of the previous secretaries-general are now dead. Guterres has been very outspoken on both the Hamas attacks on Israel and the very high death toll of Palestinian civilians in Gaza.
How Iran chooses to respond could determine whether the region spirals further toward all-out war or holds steady at an already destabilizing level of violence.
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